2024
Analysis of statistics, causality, and the risk of rural fires for adapting mitigation interventions to the causes, incidence, and risk.
Name: Analysis of statistics, causality, and the risk of rural fires for adapting mitigation interventions to the causes, incidence, and risk.
Code: FIT15335O
2 ECTS
Duration: 2 weeks/52 hours
Scientific Area:
Forest Sciences
Teaching languages: Portuguese
Languages of tutoring support: Portuguese
Sustainable Development Goals
Learning Goals
To understand the current legislation related to wildfires (WF)and the use of fire
To know the cause classification matrix and understand its link with deterrent and mitigation actions
Master the concepts related to WF incidence, recurrence, return interval, simultaneity; danger, hazardousness, probability, value, risk.
Know the climatic, cultural, historical, and socioeconomic factors tied to fire use and their effects on WF incidence.
Explore databases with statistics or georeferenced data on fire occurrences, causes, history, use of fire, and land use.
Relate causes, objectives, and impacts with weather, fire behavior indices, suppression abilities, and defense priorities.
Identify defense priorities based on values at risk.
Develop databases, statistical analyses, and dashboards with Excel, Power Pivot, Power BI, or others.
Identify, parameterize, and apply key factors in rural fire risk.
Create visuals to communicate results clearly
To know the cause classification matrix and understand its link with deterrent and mitigation actions
Master the concepts related to WF incidence, recurrence, return interval, simultaneity; danger, hazardousness, probability, value, risk.
Know the climatic, cultural, historical, and socioeconomic factors tied to fire use and their effects on WF incidence.
Explore databases with statistics or georeferenced data on fire occurrences, causes, history, use of fire, and land use.
Relate causes, objectives, and impacts with weather, fire behavior indices, suppression abilities, and defense priorities.
Identify defense priorities based on values at risk.
Develop databases, statistical analyses, and dashboards with Excel, Power Pivot, Power BI, or others.
Identify, parameterize, and apply key factors in rural fire risk.
Create visuals to communicate results clearly
Contents
1. Statistical analysis of wildfire causes.
2. Causes of wildfires, associated potential objectives, and their relationship with hazardousness, relevance, and impacts.
3. Intervention possibilities for mitigating wildfire causes, including awareness and information
2. Causes of wildfires, associated potential objectives, and their relationship with hazardousness, relevance, and impacts.
3. Intervention possibilities for mitigating wildfire causes, including awareness and information
Teaching Methods
The teaching-learning methodology should adopt a problem-based approach, focusing on practical cases and/or critical situations to ensure learner engagement and closeness to real-life scenarios. It should foster connections between distinct topics and facilitate the evaluation of complex scenarios?essential skills for the integrated rural fire management system. Collaborative learning should be promoted, allowing participants to develop complementary teamwork skills as well as the ability to self-evaluate, evaluate others, and engage in peer assessment.
An autonomous study component should be included, culminating in an individual practical project. The topic of this final project will be chosen by the participant from the subjects covered during the course.
An autonomous study component should be included, culminating in an individual practical project. The topic of this final project will be chosen by the participant from the subjects covered during the course.
Assessment
Evaluation methods:
Execution of training exercises during classes integrated in a final practical project, that correspond to 100% of the classification
Evaluation criteria:
1. Determine the importance of wildfires over time and space, across different scales.
2. Identify the causes associated with wildfires and their relevance, based on the scale of work.
3. Classify risk situations and prioritize interventions.
4. Organize and prepare supporting information for the development of strategies and intervention programs related to preparedness, prevention, pre-suppression, and suppression of wildfires.
Execution of training exercises during classes integrated in a final practical project, that correspond to 100% of the classification
Evaluation criteria:
1. Determine the importance of wildfires over time and space, across different scales.
2. Identify the causes associated with wildfires and their relevance, based on the scale of work.
3. Classify risk situations and prioritize interventions.
4. Organize and prepare supporting information for the development of strategies and intervention programs related to preparedness, prevention, pre-suppression, and suppression of wildfires.